Forecasting Techniques and Applications

Field	Decision Sciences
Subfield	Management Science and Operations Research
Domain	Social Sciences
OpenAlex	T11918

Smeal faculty

• James McKeown - score 5.0
• Brent B. Moritz - score 4.0
• Patrick Higgins - score 3.0
• Charles Whiteman - score 3.0
• Saurabh Bansal - score 2.0
• Orie E. Barron - score 1.0
• Dan Givoly - score 1.0
• Michael Rosenberg - score 1.0
• Rodney Erickson - score 1.0
• David Lenze - score 1.0
• Akhil Kumar - score 1.0
• Hui Zhao - score 1.0

Papers

• Using analysts' forecasts to measure properties of analysts' information environment. (1998) - cites 500
• Bayesian Leading Indicators: Measuring and Predicting Economic Conditions in Iowa (1998) - cites 209
• Demand Forecasting with Supply‐Chain Information and Machine Learning: Evidence in the Pharmaceutical Industry (2021) - cites 173
• Forecasting Using Relative Entropy (2005) - cites 155
• Demand Forecasting Behavior: System Neglect and Change Detection (2011) - cites 140
• Chapter 1 Bayesian Forecasting (2006) - cites 122
• Judgmental Forecasting: Cognitive Reflection and Decision Speed (2013) - cites 107
• An empirical comparison of neural network and logistic regression models (1995) - cites 103
• The Quality of Analysts’ Forecasts of Earnings (1984) - cites 73
• Forecasting China's economic growth and inflation (2016) - cites 51
• GDPNow: A Model for GDP 'Nowcasting' (2014) - cites 50
• SPECIFICATION AND PERFORMANCE IMPROVEMENTS IN REGIONAL ECONOMETRIC FORECASTING MODELS: A MODEL FOR THE MILWAUKEE METROPOLITAN AREA* (1980) - cites 36
• Using Experts’ Noisy Quantile Judgments to Quantify Risks: Theory and Application to Agribusiness (2017) - cites 30
• Time series forecasting models involving power transformations (1984) - cites 29
• An Evaluation of Univariate Time-Series Earnings Models and Their Generalization to a Single Input Transfer Function (1981) - cites 27
• Exchange Rate Determination: Models and Strategies for Exchange Rate Forecasting (2003) - cites 26
• The Effect on Predictive Ability of Reducing the Number of Observations on a Time-Series Analysis of Quarterly Earnings Data (1978) - cites 26
• Forecast Decisions (2018) - cites 21
• A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE PREDICTIVE ABILITY OF ADAPTIVE FORECASTING, RE‐ESTIMATION, AND RE‐IDENTIFICATION USING BOX‐JENKINS TIME‐SERIES ANALYSIS ON QUARTERLY EARNINGS DATA (1978) - cites 12
• Forecast Accuracy and Efficiency: An Evaluation of Ex Ante Substate Long-Term Forecasts (2000) - cites 11
• Estimating Uncertainties Using Judgmental Forecasts with Expert Heterogeneity (2020) - cites 10
• Univariate Time-Series Analysis of Quarterly Earnings: Some Unresolved Issues (1986) - cites 8
• Deliberate or Intuitive: Decision Speed and Cognitive Reflection in Demand Forecasting Behavior (2011) - cites 5
• Evolution of Behavior, Uncertainty, and the Difficulty of Predicting Labor Force Participation (2019) - cites 4